Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 11.873945 13.263457 14.765058 16.510792 18.487572 20.659960 23.232831
2025-06-08 9.581112 11.437425 13.595278 16.298857 19.609360 23.548345 28.616001
2025-06-15 8.257780 10.430364 13.118499 16.712380 21.426442 27.447272 35.796266
2025-06-22 7.044203 9.332173 12.317219 16.537176 22.413840 30.402767 42.247937
2025-06-29 6.039254 8.334919 11.470075 16.123092 22.953210 32.768124 48.225195
2025-07-06 5.308165 7.595912 10.849761 15.894187 23.660265 35.400600 54.949553
2025-07-13 4.910478 7.269496 10.755583 16.388652 25.466082 39.878241 65.219212
2025-07-20 4.579282 6.992761 10.686720 16.888723 27.317304 44.655247 76.758696
2025-07-27 4.237839 6.654694 10.473051 17.111407 28.717833 48.853536 87.981640
2025-08-03 3.860226 6.213831 10.038758 16.899559 29.324514 51.730623 97.240951
2025-08-10 3.521574 5.799306 9.598555 16.613617 29.741959 54.292742 106.294241
2025-08-17 3.227344 5.428791 9.191230 16.330056 30.111056 56.788768 115.612779
2025-08-24 2.980133 5.122063 8.874513 16.195415 30.786184 60.060310 127.373585
2025-08-31 2.771722 4.864317 8.619585 16.148049 31.630482 63.812322 140.970695
2025-09-07 2.657339 4.765659 8.645042 16.646891 33.654937 70.357897 162.373977
2025-09-14 2.475571 4.523804 8.375527 16.520418 34.341815 74.095673 177.807322
2025-09-21 2.282328 4.242141 8.001072 16.132024 34.401803 76.419173 190.160941
2025-09-28 2.127924 4.021579 7.724763 15.916393 34.813723 79.617444 205.484968
2025-10-05 2.061029 3.967765 7.777817 16.419114 36.951858 87.334650 234.975007
2025-10-12 1.998350 3.916374 7.829890 16.924394 39.168161 95.627087 268.146834
2025-10-19 1.914474 3.813628 7.763446 17.149887 40.729461 102.489994 298.756781
2025-10-26 1.800248 3.637410 7.522685 16.938730 41.156486 106.380243 321.034661
2025-11-02 1.689501 3.459658 7.262767 16.652701 41.350756 109.663485 342.185258